Who will emerge as Winner of IPL 2021?

One of the most extravagant T20 leagues in the world is back with the 14th edition of the Indian Premier League (IPL) resuming operations from where it left on May 2 due to COVID-19. The UAE will host the remainder of the tournament. Between April 9 and May 2, 29 matches were played, which is less than 50 percent of the total matches played in the competition, including 56 league matches and four play-offs.

 

IPL 2021 Trophy
IPL 2021 Trophy

 

The three-time winners Chennai Super Kings are the favorites to win this year in the latest IPL betting. Also, Chennai Super Kings made a solid comeback in the remaining part of the IPL after they defeated the mighty Mumbai Indians on 19th September. Dhoni and co. have won 6 out of the 8 matches played in this IPL edition and are comfortably sitting at the top of the table.

Based on data from the last six editions (2015 – 2020) of the competition, it is observed that the first 29 matches of the IPL have the potential to determine which teams are most likely to make it to the playoffs and win the final, and which players are strong contenders for the Orange and Purple Caps.

Points Table Standing

From the IPL standings data for the last seasons collated by Betway, it is evident that the team which is positioned at number 8 has never qualified for the play-offs. Based on this conclusion, Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH) does not have a chance to make it to the top four. Apart from SRH, the other teams have a fair chance of making it to the playoffs.

On the flip side, the team which is at the top of the table after 29 matches have a 100 percent chance of making it to the play-offs. The teams that have been there having gone on to win the tournament twice. Based on this data, Delhi Capitals have the highest chance of making it into the knock-outs.

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Apart from the top four teams, the bottom four teams also have some chance of qualifying for the play-offs. In the last six years, teams at number 5 and number 7 positions have also gone on to win the championship, which reckons that Rajasthan Royals and Kolkata Knight Riders have an outside chance of clinching the title.

Most Runs – Orange Cup Winner

Over the last six campaigns, after 29 matches, it is interesting to see that 14 players, who were not among the top five run-scorers went on to finish among the top five leading run-getters, however, none of them have won the Orange Cap.

The top three run-getters, after 29 matches, have managed to win the Orange Cap at the end of the tournament. , which means Shikhar Dhawan (DC), KL Rahul (PBKS) and Faf du Plessis (CSK) have a strong chance of winning the coveted cap. Among the top three batsmen, the batsman with the second-highest runs after 29 matches, have won the Orange Cap three out of six times. This indicates that KL Rahul has a 50 percent chance of winning the Orange Cap.

Also in none of the last six editions has the highest run-getter slipped beyond the fifth position, which hints that Shikhar Dhawan is likely to end the season among the top five run-getters.

List of Orange Cup Winners

Year Winner Team Runs Average Strike Rate 50 100 Highest Score
2021 TBA TBA
2020 KL Rahul KXIP 670 55.83 129.34 5 1 132*
2019 David Warner SRH 692 69.2 143.87 8 1 100
2018 Kane Williamson SRH 735 52.5 142.44 8 84
2017 David Warner SRH 641 58.27 141.81 4 1 126
2016 Virat Kohli RCB 973 81.08 152.03 7 4 113
2015 David Warner SRH 562 43.23 156.54 7 91
2014 Robin Uthappa KKR 660 44 137.78 5 83
2013 Michael Hussey CSK 733 52.35 129.5 6 95
2012 Chris Gayle RCB 733 61.08 160.74 7 1 128
2011 Chris Gayle RCB 608 67.55 183.13 3 2 107
2010 Sachin Tendulkar MI 618 47.53 132.61 5 89
2009 Matthew Hayden CSK 572 52 144.81 5 89
2008 Shaun Marsh KXIP 616 68.44 139.68 5 1 115
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Most Wickets – Purple Cap Winner

Just like the number 1 batsman after 29 matches, the number 1 bowler with the highest wickets has always ended up among the top five wicket-takers at the end of the competition. This suggests that Harshal Patel (RCB) has a good chance of completing the tournament as one of the top five bowlers.

Over the last six seasons, after 29 matches, it is intriguing to see that 13 players, who were not among the top five wicket-takers went on to finish among the top five wicket-takers, however, none of them have won the Purple Cap. The top five wicket-takers, after 29 matches, have managed to win the Purple Cap in all the last six editions, which means Harshal Patel (RCB), Avesh Khan (DC), Chris Morris (RR), Rahul Chahar (MI), and Andre Russell (KKR) have a strong chance of winning the Purple cap.

Among the top five bowlers, the bowler with the highest wickets after 29 matches, have won the Purple Cap two out of six times, which means that Harshal Patel has a 33.33 percent chance of winning the Purple Cap.

List of Purple Cap Winners

Season Player  Team Matches Wickets
2008 Sohail Tanveer RR 11 22
2009 RP Singh DC 16 23
2010 Pragyan Ojha DC 16 21
2011 Lasith Malinga MI 16 28
2012 Morne Morkel DD 16 25
2013 Dwayne Bravo CSK 18 32
2014 Mohit Sharma CSK 16 23
2015 Dwayne Bravo CSK 16 26
2016 Bhuvneshwar Kumar SRH 17 23
2017 Bhuvneshwar Kumar SRH 14 26
2018 Andrew Tye KXIP 14 24
2019 Imran Tahir CSK 17 26
2020 Kagiso Rabada DC 17 30

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